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[Natural Rubber]: Rubber Daily Journal (March 13)

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March 13, 2024, 4:48 PM

Analysis of natural rubber market price on March 13

index

On March 13, the STR20 price index of natural rubber in the Qingdao market was US$1625/ton, up 5 or 0.3% from yesterday.

market analysis

futures market

date

Previous period: RU Futures

main contract

closing price

opening price

Low-end price

High-end price

closing price

RU01

RU05

RU09

on March 13

14135

14090

14255

14200

15520

14200

14385

March 12

14095

14010

14270

14135

15380

14135

14280

rise and fall

40

80

-15

65

140

65

105

 

date

Previous period energy: NR futures (closing price)

NR main force

NR01

NR05

NR09

on March 13

11825

12095

11825

12000

March 12

11765

11955

11765

11935

rise and fall

60

140

60

65

 

spot market

Supply:

Foreign countries: Global rubber has entered low-producing areas, Thailand's raw material output has shrunk, and market prices have remained high.

China: China is still in the cut-off period, and there is no supply of goods in Yunnan and Hainan.

price type

March 12

on March 13

rise and fall

units

raw material prices

Thailand

glue

75.8

77

1.2

baht/kg

cup glue

55.03

55.3

0.27

baht/kg

Yunnan

Glue (into the dry glue factory)

0

0

0

Yuan/ton

rubber block

0

0

0

Yuan/ton

Hainan

Glue (into the dry glue factory)

0

0

0

Yuan/ton

Glue (Jinnong Dairy Factory)

0

0

0

Yuan/ton

 

On the demand side: The overall capacity utilization rate of the semi-steel tire industry continues to be high, and transactions in the market for some models of tires are in full swing, and enterprises are actively scheduling production; the start-up situation and inventory of enterprises in the entire steel tire industry show certain differences. The overall operation of large enterprises is good, and some small and medium-sized enterprises have fewer new orders signed, low start-up, and accumulated inventories. In terms of the market, the overall performance of semi-steel tires is strong, and some companies are eager to increase prices; the overall performance of all-steel tires is weak, and the price policy is stable.

Futures spot price list

price type

March 12

on March 13

rise and fall

units

price of finished products

Shandong

China All Latex

13383

13433

50

Yuan/ton

Qingdao

Thailand No. 20 standard glue

1620

1625

5

us dollars/ton

Qingdao

Thailand No. 20 mixed glue

13030

13060

30

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

Hainan

11600

11600

0

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

Thailand Non-Yellow Bulk

12700

12700

0

Yuan/ton

the current price difference

Main force-Thailand No. 20 mixed glue

1105

1140

35

Yuan/ton

Main force-China All Latex

752

767

15

Yuan/ton

relevant exchange rate

us dollar against the RMB

7.1931

7.2036

0.0105

Yuan

Thai Baht to RMB

0.2063

0.2051

-0.0012

Yuan

 

market outlook

China's raw material production areas are still in the cut-off period, and there is no supply in the market. Global rubber has entered a low-production area. Thailand has been affected by severe weather, and raw material output has continued to decline, and tight goods and prices have increased, which has a strong support for rubber costs; Today, China's natural rubber market prices have fallen and risen, and new market orders have been sold lukewarm; the overall downstream tire industry has started at a high level, but it lacks a certain positive boost. Market shipments will be difficult to increase in the short term. It is expected that the natural rubber market will operate steadily in the short term.