[Industry News]: The probability that the Fed will not move in March is 89.5%
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February 18, 2024, 11:30 AM
According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged in the range of 5.25%-5.50% in March is 89.5%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 10.5%. The probability of keeping interest rates unchanged by May is 63.3%, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 33.7%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 3.1%. (Cailian)