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[Natural Rubber]: Rubber Daily Journal (February 23)

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February 23, 2024, 5:01 PM

Analysis of natural rubber market price on February 23

index

On February 23, the STR20 price index of natural rubber in the Qingdao market was US$1610/ton, up US$10/ton from the previous trading day, or 0.62%.

market analysis

futures market

date

Previous period: RU Futures

main contract

closing price

opening price

Low-end price

High-end price

closing price

RU01

RU05

RU09

on February 23

13500

13475

13625

13550

14645

13550

13700

on February 22

13505

13505

13620

13555

14675

13555

13710

rise and fall

-5

-30

5

-5

-30

-5

-10

 

date

Previous period energy: NR futures (closing price)

NR main force

NR01

NR05

NR09

on February 23

11310

11625

11375

11470

on February 22

11285

11680

11350

11470

rise and fall

25

-55

25

0

 

spot market

Supply:

Foreign countries: The production situation in southern Thailand has been affected, which supports raw materials to remain firm to a certain extent and strong cost support.

China: China's production areas have entered a cut-off period, and raw material prices are not available.

price type

on February 22

on February 23

rise and fall

units

raw material prices

Thailand

glue

68

68.25

0.25

baht/kg

cup glue

52.55

52.8

0.25

baht/kg

Yunnan

Glue (into the dry glue factory)

0

0

0

Yuan/ton

rubber block

0

0

0

Yuan/ton

Hainan

Glue (into the dry glue factory)

 

 

 

Yuan/ton

Glue (Jinnong Dairy Factory)

 

 

 

Yuan/ton

 

Demand: Most tire companies have resumed work and production. At present, all-steel tire dealer meetings in some regions have been gradually held, but the actual shipment effect has been average; most semi-steel tire companies have maintained a high capacity utilization rate, and merchants have sufficient orders. In terms of the market, as the market gradually recovers, agents have strong trading after resuming work after the holiday, allowing them to eliminate their stocks. In order to meet downstream demand, agents have recently replenished stocks one after another. However, the factory's supply is tight and the arrival of orders is delayed.

Futures spot price list

price type

on February 22

on February 23

rise and fall

units

price of finished products

Shandong

China All Latex

12783

13033

250

Yuan/ton

Qingdao

Thailand No. 20 standard glue

1560

1610

50

us dollars/ton

Qingdao

Thailand No. 20 mixed glue

12400

12750

350

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

Hainan

11450

11450

0

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

Thailand Non-Yellow Bulk

12550

12550

0

Yuan/ton

the current price difference

Main force-Thailand No. 20 mixed glue

1155

800

-355

Yuan/ton

Main force-China All Latex

772

517

-255

Yuan/ton

relevant exchange rate

us dollar against the RMB

7.2141

7.2141

0

Yuan

Thai Baht to RMB

0.2031

0.204

0.0009

Yuan

 

market outlook

The supply of raw materials in the overseas rubber market is relatively tight. Coupled with the low inventory of upstream factories, raw material prices are prone to rise but not fall, and the supply side provides certain support; the overall inventory of the natural rubber market remains high, and the performance of the demand side has improved compared with the previous period. However, the peak of replenishment of downstream factories It will still take some time to arrive, and the price of the natural rubber market is expected to remain stable in the short term.