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[Natural Rubber]: Rubber Daily Journal (March 8)

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March 8, 2024, 4:54 PM

Analysis of natural rubber market price on March 8

index

On March 8, the STR20 price index of natural rubber in the Qingdao market was US$1650/ton, up 55 from yesterday, or 3.45%.

market analysis

futures market

date

Previous period: RU Futures

main contract

closing price

opening price

Low-end price

High-end price

closing price

RU01

RU05

RU09

March 8

13750

13720

14295

14250

15385

14250

14370

March 7

13835

13675

13880

13725

14940

13725

13885

rise and fall

-85

45

415

525

445

525

485

 

date

Previous period energy: NR futures (closing price)

NR main force

NR01

NR05

NR09

March 8

11935

11995

11935

12020

March 7

11570

11905

11570

11695

rise and fall

365

90

365

325

 

spot market

Supply:

Foreign countries: Thailand's raw material market supply is low, glue prices are rising again, and rubber cup prices are stable.

China: China's rubber trees are rising well and are expected to cut normally.

price type

March 7

March 8

rise and fall

units

raw material prices

Thailand

glue

73.2

73.5

0.3

baht/kg

cup glue

54.35

54.35

0

baht/kg

Yunnan

Glue (into the dry glue factory)

0

0

0

Yuan/ton

rubber block

0

0

0

Yuan/ton

Hainan

Glue (into the dry glue factory)

0

0

0

Yuan/ton

Glue (Jinnong Dairy Factory)

0

0

0

Yuan/ton

 

On the demand side: The semi-steel tire industry has resumed its regular shipping model, market supply remains low, and the shortage of supplies for some models continues; the price policy of the all-steel tire market is stable, merchants are not enthusiastic about purchasing, on-site inventory is slowly digested, and insufficient market demand is replaced. In terms of the market, supply and demand in the semi-steel tire and all-steel tire markets are mixed. Companies flexibly adjust price policies for shipment, and tire market prices fluctuate.

Futures spot price list

price type

March 7

March 8

rise and fall

units

price of finished products

Shandong

China All Latex

13133

13100

-33

Yuan/ton

Qingdao

Thailand No. 20 standard glue

1595

1650

55

us dollars/ton

Qingdao

Thailand No. 20 mixed glue

12810

13180

370

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

Hainan

11450

11450

0

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

Thailand Non-Yellow Bulk

12550

12650

100

Yuan/ton

the current price difference

Main force-Thailand No. 20 mixed glue

915

1070

155

Yuan/ton

Main force-China All Latex

592

1150

558

Yuan/ton

relevant exchange rate

us dollar against the RMB

7.2161

7.2129

-0.0032

Yuan

Thai Baht to RMB

0.2062

0.2065

0.0003

Yuan

 

market outlook

China's rubber trees are rising well and are expected to be cut normally. There is no supply of goods abroad in Southeast Asia and Vietnam. The supply of raw materials in Thailand is low. Market prices continue to rise, and cost support is strong. China's natural rubber is slowly removed from the warehouse, and dark colors perform better than light colors. Qingdao is more obvious. The capacity utilization rate of the downstream tire and rubber products industry has gradually recovered. Some companies maintain high start-ups and high loads, and there is certain support on the demand side. It is expected that the natural rubber market will operate strongly in the short term.