[Natural Rubber]: Rubber Daily Journal (March 13)
Analysis of natural rubber market price on March 13
index
On March 13, the STR20 price index of natural rubber in the Qingdao market was US$1625/ton, up 5 or 0.3% from yesterday.
market analysis
futures market
date |
Previous period: RU Futures |
||||||
main contract |
closing price |
||||||
opening price |
Low-end price |
High-end price |
closing price |
RU01 |
RU05 |
RU09 |
|
on March 13 |
14135 |
14090 |
14255 |
14200 |
15520 |
14200 |
14385 |
March 12 |
14095 |
14010 |
14270 |
14135 |
15380 |
14135 |
14280 |
rise and fall |
40 |
80 |
-15 |
65 |
140 |
65 |
105 |
date |
Previous period energy: NR futures (closing price) |
|||
NR main force |
NR01 |
NR05 |
NR09 |
|
on March 13 |
11825 |
12095 |
11825 |
12000 |
March 12 |
11765 |
11955 |
11765 |
11935 |
rise and fall |
60 |
140 |
60 |
65 |
spot market
Supply:
Foreign countries: Global rubber has entered low-producing areas, Thailand's raw material output has shrunk, and market prices have remained high.
China: China is still in the cut-off period, and there is no supply of goods in Yunnan and Hainan.
price type |
March 12 |
on March 13 |
rise and fall |
units |
||
raw material prices |
Thailand |
glue |
75.8 |
77 |
1.2 |
baht/kg |
cup glue |
55.03 |
55.3 |
0.27 |
baht/kg |
||
Yunnan |
Glue (into the dry glue factory) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Yuan/ton |
|
rubber block |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Yuan/ton |
||
Hainan |
Glue (into the dry glue factory) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Yuan/ton |
|
Glue (Jinnong Dairy Factory) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Yuan/ton |
On the demand side: The overall capacity utilization rate of the semi-steel tire industry continues to be high, and transactions in the market for some models of tires are in full swing, and enterprises are actively scheduling production; the start-up situation and inventory of enterprises in the entire steel tire industry show certain differences. The overall operation of large enterprises is good, and some small and medium-sized enterprises have fewer new orders signed, low start-up, and accumulated inventories. In terms of the market, the overall performance of semi-steel tires is strong, and some companies are eager to increase prices; the overall performance of all-steel tires is weak, and the price policy is stable.
Futures spot price list
price type |
March 12 |
on March 13 |
rise and fall |
units |
||
price of finished products |
Shandong |
China All Latex |
13383 |
13433 |
50 |
Yuan/ton |
Qingdao |
Thailand No. 20 standard glue |
1620 |
1625 |
5 |
us dollars/ton |
|
Qingdao |
Thailand No. 20 mixed glue |
13030 |
13060 |
30 |
Yuan/ton |
|
Ningbo |
Hainan |
11600 |
11600 |
0 |
Yuan/ton |
|
Ningbo |
Thailand Non-Yellow Bulk |
12700 |
12700 |
0 |
Yuan/ton |
|
the current price difference |
Main force-Thailand No. 20 mixed glue |
1105 |
1140 |
35 |
Yuan/ton |
|
Main force-China All Latex |
752 |
767 |
15 |
Yuan/ton |
||
relevant exchange rate |
us dollar against the RMB |
7.1931 |
7.2036 |
0.0105 |
Yuan |
|
Thai Baht to RMB |
0.2063 |
0.2051 |
-0.0012 |
Yuan |
market outlook
China's raw material production areas are still in the cut-off period, and there is no supply in the market. Global rubber has entered a low-production area. Thailand has been affected by severe weather, and raw material output has continued to decline, and tight goods and prices have increased, which has a strong support for rubber costs; Today, China's natural rubber market prices have fallen and risen, and new market orders have been sold lukewarm; the overall downstream tire industry has started at a high level, but it lacks a certain positive boost. Market shipments will be difficult to increase in the short term. It is expected that the natural rubber market will operate steadily in the short term.