[Natural Rubber]: Rubber Daily Journal (April 16)

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April 16, 2024, 4:40 PM

Analysis of natural rubber market price on April 16

index

On April 16, the STR20 price index of natural rubber in the Qingdao market was US$1630/ton, down 20 or 1.2% from yesterday.

market analysis

futures market

date

Previous period: RU Futures

main contract

closing price

opening price

Low-end price

High-end price

closing price

RU01

RU05

RU09

April 16

14700

14470

14710

14515

15610

14270

14515

April 15

14725

14625

14825

14710

15815

14445

14710

rise and fall

-25

-155

-115

-195

-205

-175

-195

 

date

Previous period energy: NR futures (closing price)

NR main force

NR01

NR05

NR09

April 16

11735

12450

11570

12065

April 15

11950

12570

11770

12225

rise and fall

-215

-120

-200

-160

 

spot market

Supply:

Foreign countries: Thailand's raw material output is low, and market prices are starting to decline.

China: There is no quotation for raw materials in Yunnan, and the price of raw materials in Hainan continues to rise.

price type

April 15

April 16

rise and fall

units

raw material prices

Thailand

glue

0

0

0

baht/kg

cup glue

0

0

0

baht/kg

Yunnan

Glue (into the dry glue factory)

0

0

0

Yuan/ton

rubber block

0

0

0

Yuan/ton

Hainan

Glue (into the dry glue factory)

14000

14000

0

Yuan/ton

Glue (Jinnong Dairy Factory)

15000

15200

200

Yuan/ton

 

On the demand side: The shortage of goods in semi-steel tyre enterprises has eased, terminal demand has performed generally, and the market trading atmosphere has been relatively flat; the number of new orders signed by all steel tyre enterprises has declined compared with the previous period, making it difficult for enterprises to maintain a balance between production and sales, and some enterprises have plans to control production. In terms of the market, the construction of the downstream tire industry continues to be at a high level, the prices offered by companies are stable, the market mostly sets prices based on volume, and the speed of de-warehousing is relatively slow.

Futures spot price list

price type

April 15

April 16

rise and fall

units

price of finished products

Shandong

China All Latex

13833

13783

-50

Yuan/ton

Qingdao

Thailand No. 20 standard glue

1650

1630

-20

us dollars/ton

Qingdao

Thailand No. 20 mixed glue

13480

13300

-180

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

Hainan

11350

11450

100

Yuan/ton

Ningbo

Thailand Non-Yellow Bulk

12100

12200

100

Yuan/ton

the current price difference

Main force-Thailand No. 20 mixed glue

1230

1215

-15

Yuan/ton

Main force-China All Latex

877

732

-145

Yuan/ton

relevant exchange rate

us dollar against the RMB

7.255

7.2557

0.0007

Yuan

Thai Baht to RMB

0.2012

0.2006

-0.0006

Yuan

 

market outlook

Thailand's raw material prices have fallen, weakening support for rubber costs; China's Yunnan and Hainan production areas have been cut off one after another, and market prices have continued to rise; today, China's natural rubber market prices are fluctuating within a narrow range, and the spot market transactions are relatively flat; downstream tire and rubber products The demand in the industry is poor, and the attitude towards stocking raw materials is more cautious. The negative atmosphere on the demand side is strong. The natural rubber market is expected to operate weakly in the short term.