Replacement demand growth for automotive battery segment at 4-5%: Ambit Capital

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 May 21, 2024

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Mumbai:Ambit Capital, an investment advisory firm, estimates that the current replacement demand in the automotive battery segment is growing at 4-5% year-on-year. As of 2016, this is much lower than the double-digit growth rates the sector was experiencing on a monthly basis in the year 201610. Before the cash ban took effect. Demand in India’s automotive battery sector has “largely recovered” from its post-demon era lows as the cash ban hit the automotive sector hard. However, rural demand is still suffering, the report said.

On the acceleration of demand from the unorganized sector to the organized sector, Ambit said that the feedback is quite mixed based on dealer interactions. While some believe that the unorganized sector has been hit harder, others say it will bounce back soon. Further, dealers said that there will be a gradual shift to the organized sector after the implementation of GST and said, “The unorganized sector will be able to evade compliance if it is not strictly enforced.”

Battery pricing has become more complex as demand growth for cars slows. Since November 2016, India’s top battery makers, Exide and Amarara Raja, have raised aftermarket prices by about 10% to offset the rise in lead prices over the past eight months.

The investment advisory firm expects replacement battery industry sales to grow at a CAGR of 8% in FY 2017-19 based on the correlation between sluggish original equipment device (OE) sales in FY 2012-17 and demand for replacement automotive batteries in FY 2017-19. The target is to achieve a CAGR of 12% from FY 2012-16.

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